Categories: News

South Korean imports show moderate strength as overall trade continues to contract

  • Trade in Personal and Household Goods set to
    grow sizably in Q3 2019
  • Imports of Basic Raw Materials bolster both air
    and ocean trade, partially offsetting weakness in other sectors

SEOUL, KOREA -�Media OutReach - 9 July
2019 - South Korea’s trade outlook retains
some cause for optimism despite continued deceleration both air and ocean trade
,
according to latest data from the DHL Global Trade Barometer.

The DHL Global Trade Barometer, an early
indicator of global trade developments calculated using Artificial Intelligence
and Big Data, suggests that trade in Personal and Household Goods will experience
significant growth between June and August 2019, rising 15 points to an index
of 89[1].
However, most other sectors continue to exhibit signs of ongoing trade
weakness, with marked declines in both air and ocean exports expected, thus
pulling down the overall trade outlook by 3 to an index value of 46[2].
South Korea’s air imports, on the other hand, look set to grow modestly thanks
to rising trade in sectors like Temperature or Climate Controlled goods and
Basic Raw Materials — the latter of which is predicted to make positive
contributions to the country’s ocean imports.

 

“South Korea’s high reliance on exports has
rendered its economy particularly susceptible to the global downturn in trade,
particularly as its key industries like semiconductors
and technology have been acutely affected by recent trade disputes,” said SP
Song, Managing Director, DHL Global Forwarding Korea. “The evolving nature of
global trade disputes will likely dictate the course of South Korea’s own trade
growth in the coming months, with domestic demand aided by government stimulus
measures and broader overseas diversification likely to yield opportunities for
South Korean businesses looking for increasingly rare growth at home.”

 

Latest results show negative effects of trade wars

For the first time in six quarters, the
Barometer’s results predict a slight decline in global trade between June and
August 2019, with its overall world trade outlook dropping to just 48 index
points.

 

Commenting on the latest forecast, Tim Scharwath,
CEO of DHL Global Forwarding, Freight, said, “Amidst rising US-Chinese
tensions, the slightly negative outlook for global trade for the third quarter
of 2019 does not come as a complete surprise. The latest GTB clearly
illustrates why trade disputes create no winners. Nevertheless, some major
economies such as Germany continue to record positive trade growth. And from a
year-to-date perspective, world trade growth has still been positive. Hence, we
remain confident in our initial prognosis that 2019 will be a year with overall
positive, but slower trade growth.”

 

The continued trade disputes between the US and
China have contributed significantly to that decline, with both countries
experiencing the largest declines in their trade outlook (-11 points for the
US, -7 points for China) out of all countries surveyed by the Barometer. In the
Global Trade Barometer methodology, an index value above 50 indicates positive
growth, while values below 50 indicate contraction.

 

Scharwath said, “The GTB is a useful tool for us
to anticipate economic developments at an early stage. We are well-prepared to
tackle the forecasted developments. Our divisional structure and portfolio as
well as our worldwide activities allow us to balance economic effects within
the company and remain resilient to changes in global trade dynamics.”



[1]
Click here for more
information on the outlook for air freight and ocean freight or the key sectors
in South Korea.

[2]
Note: In the Global
Trade Barometer methodology, an index value above 50 indicates positive growth,
while values below 50 indicate contraction.

 

About the Global Trade Barometer

Launched in January 2018, the DHL Global Trade
Barometer is an innovative and unique early indicator for the current state and future development of global trade.
It is based on large amounts of logistics data that are evaluated with the help
of artificial intelligence. The indicator is published four times a year and
the next release date is scheduled for September 2019.

 

For more
information on the DHL Global Trade Barometer, please visit:
https://www.dpdhl.com/gtb.


DHL – The logistics company for the world

DHL is the leading global brand in the logistics industry. Our DHL family
of divisions offer an unrivalled portfolio of logistics services ranging from
national and international parcel delivery, e-commerce shipping and fulfillment
solutions, international express, road, air and ocean transport to industrial
supply chain management. With about 380,000 employees in more than 220
countries and territories worldwide, DHL connects people and businesses
securely and reliably, enabling global trade flows. With specialized solutions
for growth markets and industries including technology, life sciences and
healthcare, energy, automotive and retail, a proven commitment to corporate
responsibility and an unrivalled presence in developing markets, DHL is
decisively positioned as “The logistics company for the world”.

 

DHL is
part of Deutsche Post DHL Group. The Group generated revenues of more than 61
billion euros in 2018.

Miscw.com

Recent Posts

JustMarkets Celebrates Key Milestones From 2024

HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM - Media OutReach Newswire - 24 December 2024 - JustMarkets…

30 minutes ago

Thailand Shines at ACES Awards 2024: Celebrating Leadership, Sustainability, and Innovation Across Industries

BANGKOK, THAILAND - Media OutReach Newswire - 24 December 2024 - The Asia Corporate Excellence…

30 minutes ago

China Focus: Technology sows seeds of hope in combating desertification

HOHHOT, CHINA - Media OutReach Newswire - 23 December 2024 - China's National Forestry and…

10 hours ago

Novautek Honored with the “Outstanding SME ESG and Business Performance Award”

HONG KONG SAR - EQS Newswire - 23 December 2024 - Novautek Autonomous Driving Limited…

13 hours ago

V-GREEN and Xanh SM Indonesia sign MoU with Lippo for comprehensive green ecosystem in Indonesia

JAKARTA, INDONESIA - Media OutReach Newswire - 23 December 2024 - V-GREEN and PT Xanh…

13 hours ago

Molex Anticipates Steady Growth in High-Speed Connectivity in 2025, Driving Electronics Design Innovations Across Diverse Industry Sectors

Increase in opportunities predicted for high-speed optical transceivers and miniaturized connectivity solutions to address data-intensive…

15 hours ago