India poised to lead global economic growth despite widespread trade slowdown

• India continues to lead global ranking for the DHL Global Trade
  Barometer even as air and ocean freight volumes decline
• Basic Raw Materials, High Technology and Machinery Parts are
  expected to sustain the greatest positive contributions to India’s near-term
  growth

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MUMBAI, INDIA - Media
OutReach  - December 3,
2018 - India’s pace of growth continues to lead the world’s largest
economies with its trade index of 75 points on the DHL Global Trade Barometer released by DHL,
the world’s leading logistics
company, far
exceeding its Asian and European counterparts.

 

The DHL Global Trade
Barometer, an early
indicator of global trade developments calculated using Artificial Intelligence
and Big Data, revealed that India’s trade and economic growth prospects look
the most positive out of the world’s largest seven economies for the three-month
forecast period ending in January.
This is despite the country’s overall index declining by eight points from the
previous quarter, amidst a slowing global trade momentum. India retained pole
position on the Barometer throughout 2018, reaching its peak in February with a
score of 86.

 

“We are heading into 2019 with the most positivity in Basic Raw Materials, High Technology and Machinery Parts, with slight index increases in both
segments,” said George Lawson, CEO, DHL Global Forwarding India. “That alludes
to India’s continual rise in standards of living, evolving lifestyles and rural
demand that have contributed to annual consumption growth of close to 10% in
2018.[1]

 

“Earlier this year, India also overtook Germany to become the fourth
largest automobile market in the world, with domestic sales growing by 9.5%,[2]
even as it continues to be a vehicle manufacturing hub for both foreign exports
and domestic use.[3]
The Barometer’s results reflect that resilience with a slight increase for Land
Vehicles and Motor Parts to an index of 70.”

 

The Barometer’s results
also suggest that global trade will continue to grow over the next three months
and that the development of the previous quarters will continue. The pace of
growth, however, will particularly decelerate for Asia except for China.

 

“The DHL Global Trade Barometer clearly shows that the state of global
trade remains solid. Both air and ocean trade continue to grow around the
world. However, given the smoldering trade conflicts, especially between the United
States and China, and economists’ expectations that the global economy could
cool down, it is not entirely surprising that trade momentum has weakened
slightly,” said Tim Scharwath, CEO of DHL Global Forwarding, Freight.

 

Indices for all seven countries that constitute the GTB index —
including China, Germany, India,
Japan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and the United States — are above 50 points. In
the Global Trade Barometer methodology, an index value above 50 indicates
positive growth, while values below 50 indicate contraction.

 

Launched in January 2018, the DHL Global Trade Barometer is an
innovative and unique early indicator for the current state and future
development of global trade. It is based on large amounts of logistics data
that are evaluated with the help of artificial intelligence. The indicator has
been developed in cooperation between DHL, the world’s leading logistics
company, and IT service provider Accenture. It is published four times a year.
The next release date is scheduled for March 27, 2019.

 

DHL — The logistics company for the world

 

DHL is the leading global brand in the logistics industry. Our DHL family
of divisions offer an unrivalled portfolio of logistics services ranging from
national and international parcel delivery, e-commerce shipping and fulfillment
solutions, international express, road, air and ocean transport to industrial
supply chain management. With about 360,000 employees in more than 220
countries and territories worldwide, DHL connects people and businesses
securely and reliably, enabling global trade flows. With specialized solutions
for growth markets and industries including technology, life sciences and healthcare,
energy, automotive and retail, a proven commitment to corporate responsibility
and an unrivalled presence in developing markets, DHL is decisively positioned
as “The logistics company for the world”.

 

DHL is part of
Deutsche Post DHL Group. The Group generated revenues of more than 60 billion
euros in 2017.